For Investors — TRON Earthquake Prediction
Market Opportunity
Earthquakes remain one of the most destructive and least predictable natural threats. In the 20th century, average annual fatalities were 15,000–20,000; in the 21st century, despite advances in seismic-resistant construction, this has risen to 25,000–30,000. According to Our World in Data (Oxford University), mortality per 100,000 population increased from 0.01 in 1900 to 0.08 in 2025 — an eightfold rise.
According to UNDRR, earthquakes account for more than 25% of all global economic losses from natural disasters — $18–27 billion in direct damage annually, not including indirect losses.
Currently, no technology exists worldwide for accurate short-term forecasting (hours, days, weeks) of earthquakes. Existing early warning systems only record the fact that an earthquake has occurred and provide 10–60 seconds for reaction. TRON fills a critical technological and market gap, creating a fundamentally new class of solutions in seismic safety.
Business Model
- Basic free access: three-day alerts on rising seismic activity and basic analytics.
- Premium subscription: four-day alerts, notifications, extended analytics.
- B2G licensing: national civil protection agencies and municipal authorities.
- B2B licensing: insurance companies (risk assessment).
- White-label solutions: adaptation under the client's brand.
- Targeted advertising: contextual advertising of pet products.
Market and Competition Analysis
Target market: seismically active regions (about 5 billion people). Key segments: government agencies (Japan, Indonesia, Turkey, Chile), insurance companies (USA, Japan, China), critical infrastructure operators (nuclear plants, dams, subways).
Competitors: no direct analogues. USGS, EEW, and SASMEX systems operate post-factum (10–60 seconds of lead time). TRON provides hours and days.
Risks
- Scientific validation: lack of scientific consensus on animal behavioral reactions.
- Data and noise: risk of false signals due to weather or man-made noise; sensitivity thresholds by species and region are not yet determined.
- Scalability: a critical mass of participants and connected cameras is required.
- Legal restrictions: ethical issues of collecting video and geolocation data.
Positive Asymmetries
- "Black swan in reverse" effect: exponential growth of trust after the first successful forecast.
- First-mover advantage in the category: the first mass-market tool of "people's seismology," confirmed by a working prototype on Gemma 4.
- Geopolitical significance: a strategic security element for seismically active countries.
- Ecosystem: a multi-product platform (insurance, animal monitoring, marketplace).
Offer to Investors
The investor becomes a co-founder of an international humanitarian project to save lives. The project can be registered in any jurisdiction.
| Business angel | 25% | €200,000 to test the TRON MVP in a seismic zone |
| Boris D. Yarovoy | 75% | Management. Founder, visionary. |
I am considering both equity and grant financing.
Send a Message
Email: avatarabo@gmail.com
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