For Investors — TRON Earthquake Prediction

Market Opportunity

Earthquakes remain one of the most destructive and least predictable natural threats. In the 20th century, average annual fatalities were 15,000–20,000; in the 21st century, despite advances in seismic-resistant construction, this has risen to 25,000–30,000. According to Our World in Data (Oxford University), mortality per 100,000 population increased from 0.01 in 1900 to 0.08 in 2025 — an eightfold rise.

According to UNDRR, earthquakes account for more than 25% of all global economic losses from natural disasters — $18–27 billion in direct damage annually, not including indirect losses.

Currently, no technology exists worldwide for accurate short-term forecasting (hours, days, weeks) of earthquakes. Existing early warning systems only record the fact that an earthquake has occurred and provide 10–60 seconds for reaction. TRON fills a critical technological and market gap, creating a fundamentally new class of solutions in seismic safety.

Business Model

  • Basic free access: three-day alerts on rising seismic activity and basic analytics.
  • Premium subscription: four-day alerts, notifications, extended analytics.
  • B2G licensing: national civil protection agencies and municipal authorities.
  • B2B licensing: insurance companies (risk assessment).
  • White-label solutions: adaptation under the client's brand.
  • Targeted advertising: contextual advertising of pet products.

Market and Competition Analysis

Target market: seismically active regions (about 5 billion people). Key segments: government agencies (Japan, Indonesia, Turkey, Chile), insurance companies (USA, Japan, China), critical infrastructure operators (nuclear plants, dams, subways).

Competitors: no direct analogues. USGS, EEW, and SASMEX systems operate post-factum (10–60 seconds of lead time). TRON provides hours and days.

Risks

  • Scientific validation: lack of scientific consensus on animal behavioral reactions.
  • Data and noise: risk of false signals due to weather or man-made noise; sensitivity thresholds by species and region are not yet determined.
  • Scalability: a critical mass of participants and connected cameras is required.
  • Legal restrictions: ethical issues of collecting video and geolocation data.

Positive Asymmetries

  • "Black swan in reverse" effect: exponential growth of trust after the first successful forecast.
  • First-mover advantage in the category: the first mass-market tool of "people's seismology," confirmed by a working prototype on Gemma 4.
  • Geopolitical significance: a strategic security element for seismically active countries.
  • Ecosystem: a multi-product platform (insurance, animal monitoring, marketplace).

Offer to Investors

The investor becomes a co-founder of an international humanitarian project to save lives. The project can be registered in any jurisdiction.

Business angel 25% €200,000 to test the TRON MVP in a seismic zone
Boris D. Yarovoy 75% Management. Founder, visionary.

I am considering both equity and grant financing.

Send a Message

Email: avatarabo@gmail.com
Skype, MAX, SMS +7 902 064 4380 (do not call, message only)

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